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As of April 28, 2025, both Bitcoin ($BTC ) and Ethereum ($ETH ) are exhibiting bullish trends, driven by macroeconomic developments, institutional interest, and favorable technical indicators. Bitcoin ($BTC ) Market Overview • Current Price: Approximately $95,500 • Recent Performance: $BTC has rebounded 25% from its April low of $76,000, now approaching the psychological resistance at $100,000. • Key Drivers: • Macroeconomic Factors: Investor concerns over U.S. tariffs and Federal Reserve policies have increased BTC’s appeal as a hedge. • Institutional Adoption: Major firms like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) have significantly increased their BTC holdings, signaling strong institutional confidence. • Technical Indicators: BTC has broken out of a four-month falling wedge pattern, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 50, suggesting continued upward momentum. • Short-Term Outlook: Analysts predict BTC could reach $100,000 in the near term, with potential to climb to $107,000 if current momentum persists. • Year-End Projections: Forecasts vary, with some models suggesting BTC could hit between $130,000 and $200,000 by Q4 2025.     Ethereum ($ETH ) Market Overview • Current Price: Approximately $1,800 • Recent Performance: ETH has shown a 4.7% increase over the past 24 hours, with trading volumes up by 35%, indicating strong market interest.  • Key Drivers: • Technical Momentum: A strong weekly candle suggests the beginning of a sustained upward trend.  • On-Chain Activity: Active ETH addresses have risen by 12%, reflecting growing user engagement.  • Market Sentiment: Analysts advise against selling, citing ongoing bullish momentum and strong support levels.  • Short-Term Outlook: ETH is expected to reach $1,850 by the end of April, with potential to test $2,000 if current trends continue.  • Mid-Term Projections: In May, $ETH could trade between $2,500 and $2,700, supported by ascending triangle patterns and increased institutional participation.  Conclusion Both $BTC and $ETH are demonstrating strong bullish signals as April concludes. Bitcoin’s resilience amid macroeconomic uncertainties and Ethereum’s increasing on-chain activity suggest continued upward trajectories. Investors should monitor key resistance levels and market developments to capitalize on potential gains.

(Total score: 100 points. A score of 80 or above is considered passing. The time limit is 30 minutes) I. Core Theoretical Basis (5 points per question, 20 points in total) 1. The core idea of the Markowitz Efficient Frontier Model is: A. Maximize profits through a single high-yield asset. B. Pursue the highest expected return at a given risk level, or pursue the lowest risk at a given return level. C. Only allocate low-volatility assets to avoid risks. D. Rely on technical analysis to predict asset price trends. 2. The core objective of the Bridgewater Risk Parity Model is: A. Make the return contributions of various assets equal. B. Make the risk contributions (such as volatility) of various assets equal. C. Concentrate on allocating high-yield assets to improve overall returns. D. Amplify returns through a fixed proportion of leverage. 3. Among the principles of derivative risk pricing, which of the following is not a key factor affecting the price of a futures contract? A. The spot price of the underlying asset. B. The funding rate. C. The number of exchange members. D. Market volatility. 4. The main application of the Kelly formula in the system is: A. Calculate the target position ratio of a single asset. B. Dynamically optimize the position size to match the account's risk tolerance. C. Determine the leverage multiple for fixed-lot following. D. Predict the probability of extreme market conditions. II. Risk Control Mechanisms (6 points per question, 30 points in total) 5. What is the maximum drawdown threshold set by the system for a single natural month? A. 10% (based on the current equity). B. 20% (based on the initial equity). C. 25% (based on the dynamic equity). D. 30% (based on the net profit). 6. In the leverage constraint system, what is the buffer zone required between the liquidation price and the latest transaction price according to the margin safety margin? A. ≥10% B. ≥20% C. ≥30% D. ≥40% 7. According to the liquidity management specification, what percentage of the monthly net profit is withdrawn as a risk reserve each month? A. 20% B. 30% C. 50% D. 70% 8. When the 24-hour historical volatility > 40%, which of the following defense mechanisms will the system trigger? A. Increase the leverage multiple to above 15 times. B. Compress the exposure of risky assets to within 60% and allocate 20% stablecoin reserves. C. Initiate the fixed-lot following mode. D. Suspend all strategy following. 9. In the capital curve protection mechanism, when the weekly rate of return experiences a drawdown of > 8% for two consecutive weeks, the concentration of underlying assets needs to be reduced to: A. ≤1 mainstream variety B. ≤3 mainstream varieties (top 10 in market capitalization) C. ≤5 mainstream varieties (top 20 in market capitalization) D. No limit III. Strategy Framework and Underlying Selection (6 points per question, 30 points in total) 10. Which assets should be overweighted in the macro-driven strategy during the interest rate hike cycle? A. High-β altcoins (market capitalization range of 20-50). B. Inflation-resistant assets (such as BTC/USD). C. Stablecoins (such as USDT). D. DeFi protocol tokens. 11. What is the core model adopted by the trend following enhancement strategy? A. 20-day/60-day ATR channel breakout + LSTM price inflection point prediction. B. Daily-level RSI divergence + Weekly-level MACD golden cross. C. Bollinger Bands + Fibonacci retracement lines. D. Order book depth analysis + Sentiment index. 12. In the underlying asset admission matrix, what is the threshold requirement for the 24-hour USD trading volume? A. ≥$10 million B. ≥$30 million C. ≥$50 million D. ≥$100 million 13. What is the core objective of multi-strategy Sharpe optimization? A. Maximize the annualized rate of return. B. Minimize historical volatility. C. Improve the risk-adjusted return (excess return per unit of risk). D. Reduce the maximum drawdown. 14. To which time dimension's core strategy portfolio does the cross-asset arbitrage strategy belong? A. Monthly (Cross-asset Arbitrage + Trend Following). B. Quarterly (Macro Cycle Rotation + Event-driven). C. Annual (Risk Parity Allocation + Multi-strategy Sharpe Optimization). D. Intraday trading. IV. Extreme Risks and Compliance (5 points per question, 20 points in total) 15. According to the stress test, what is the maximum net loss of the system in the "once-in-200-year" extreme market condition? A. ≤20% B. ≤35% C. ≤50% D. ≤70% 16. Which of the following is not a major risk disclosed by the system? A. Smart contract vulnerability risk (annualized 0.5%). B. Exchange suspension of trading risk (annualized 1.2%). C. Risk of regulatory policy changes. D. Extreme market liquidation risk. 17. What does the proportional synchronous following mechanism adopted by the system mean? A. Follow with fixed lots, without considering the differences in account equity. B. Open positions with a 1:1 mapping of equity and dynamically adjust the position based on the Kelly formula. C. Only follow 50% of the main strategy's position. D. Freely choose the leverage multiple according to the follower's risk preference. 18. Regarding the historical performance backtracking (2023-2024), which of the following data is incorrect? A. Annualized rate of return: 272%. B. Maximum drawdown: 19.2%. C. Sharpe ratio: 5.9 (risk-free rate 2%). D. Historical volatility control threshold ≤35%. Answers: 1-4: BBCB; 5-9: BCBBB; 10-14: BACCA; 15-18: BCBD Assessment Instructions 1. Passing requirement: A score of 80 or above (inclusive). Those who do not pass need to study the guidelines again and take a make-up exam. 2. Core assessment points: Whether the candidate understands the system's risk parity framework, leverage and stop-loss mechanisms, underlying selection criteria, and extreme risk response measures. 3. Application scenario: As a necessary part of the admission review for followers, to ensure that their cognition matches the system's risk-return characteristics. This assessment focuses on the core provisions of the guidelines, taking into account both theory and practice, and can effectively evaluate the depth of the followers' understanding of the system's risk logic.

$INIT Initia (INIT) is an emerging modular blockchain platform built on the Cosmos SDK, aiming to provide scalable Layer 1 and Layer 2 infrastructure for decentralized applications. As of April 27, 2025, INIT is trading at approximately $0.84, with a market capitalization of around $125 million and a 24-hour trading volume of $272 million . 📈 INIT Price Forecast (2025–2028) 🔮 2025: Early Momentum and Potential Growth Analysts project a bullish trajectory for INIT in 2025, contingent on successful mainnet launch and exchange listings. CoinCodex forecasts prices ranging from $2.16 to $3.50 between June and September, suggesting potential returns exceeding 300% from current levels . Bitrue anticipates INIT could reach $2.50–$3.00 within 12–18 months post-Token Generation Event (TGE), assuming strong developer adoption and favorable market conditions . 📊 2026: Consolidation and Ecosystem Development Price predictions for 2026 vary, reflecting uncertainties in market dynamics and project execution. MEXC projects a modest growth to approximately $0.88, indicating a 5% annual increase . Conversely, CryptoTicker forecasts a more optimistic scenario, with prices ranging from $1.95 to $2.91, averaging around $2.09 . 🚀 2027–2028: Scaling and Maturity As INIT's ecosystem matures, price forecasts suggest continued growth. DigitalCoinPrice estimates a maximum price of $2.82 by 2027, with an average around $2.60 . By 2028, PricePredictions.com anticipates prices could reach up to $5.60, averaging approximately $5.35, assuming sustained adoption and market support . ⚠️ Risks and Considerations Market Volatility: Cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile, and prices can fluctuate significantly due to macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. Project Execution: INIT's success depends on timely mainnet launch, achieving technical milestones, and fostering a robust developer community. Regulatory Landscape: Changes in global regulatory policies could impact INIT's adoption and accessibility. Competitive Environment: INIT faces competition from other modular blockchain platforms, which could affect its market share and growth prospects. 🧠 Conclusion INIT presents a compelling opportunity in the modular blockchain space, with potential for significant growth if it successfully executes its roadmap and navigates market challenges. While forecasts suggest substantial upside, investors should conduct thorough research and consider inherent risks before investing. $INIT

在市场流动性这个根本问题没解决之前，山寨不可能出现普涨，不扩大风险敞口，中线波段，落袋为安不格局。合约放量空单大爆仓，就是比较好的离场点位，预计在91000附近，贝姐最高看到92000，计划中短线全部离场，留个底仓就行。这里除非有重大利好加持，不然不会一次性突破91000，等回踩或者有效突破再把仓位接回。 昨晚美股继续大跌，币圈却逆市上涨，终于可以摆脱美股走独立行情了，非常好的迹象。谈谈对最近盘面的观察，全球加密交易所七日平均交易量降至约320亿美元，为自2024年10月以来最低，较2024年12月高点暴跌逾75%。哪怕是今天的拉升，市场还是很担心，以某安为例，成交量低到可怜，7亿美元左右就能拉几个点，洗的是真的干净，真正的散户没有几个了，这也预示着后面能够更好的拉升。 只有大饼站稳91000市场信心才会全面恢复，在此之前还是不能格局，见好就收中短线为主。现在市场最大的担心还是来自特朗普的关税政策，如果他能消停点，4月稳住，6月7月持续炒作降息，利好会一个接一个彻底激活市场，到时候流动性改善了，大饼就能一路历史新高了。 已提交现货ETF申请的山寨币，全部为美国币和特朗普家族投资的币，其中SOL，XRP，LTC，ADA，SUI均为美国币，AVAX,APT，MOVE，TRX均为特朗普家族投资的币，另外还有4个MEME币提交申请：DOGE，BONK,TRUMP,PENGU。 山寨板块轮动开始，先是稳定币板块，接着是韩国UP板块，周末表现最强的是游戏板块，这些板块都是前期杀市值最凶的板块。大多数山寨跌到了几百到一两千万市值之间，由于BN最近下架币异常多，一方面怕上BN的下架榜单，另一方面跌的够低，收筹码成本很低，往下赚不了钱，那就往上赚钱因为做空下去，再跌的空间也不大了。但一旦开启轧空，拉了30~50%你以为到顶了开始空，人家再一根针100%你直接爆，最典型的就是。VOXEL3天拉了快10倍。 还有其他的FLM，NKN，ALPACA，BSW等拉了一倍以上，但这种币你最多玩一次，操作上：庄家现货赚钱肯定要出货的，拉太高你要懂得卖，不要认为它项目就彻底反转了，回头被下架还是会被下架，合约上不要去做空。 目前很多山寨确实都有见底的迹象，还会继续轮涨。在反转没有最终确定之前，贝姐对山寨的选择还是相对保守，只选热门板块的龙头像sol，ray，pepe。在市场流动性这个根本问题没解决之前，山寨很难出现大规模普涨，都有很大的骗炮概率，不扩大风险敞口，中线波段，落袋为安不格局。 $BTC $ETH $SOL

预制菜在阉割味蕾，预制币在摧毁叙事 /1 总有炒粉的叫阿强，就像卖猪肉的叫阿荣。 我家楼下的阿强炒粉，去年还是路边摊，今年有了属于自己的店面。 10块一份，有菜有蛋，有肉有肠。以深圳物价来说，性价比很高。 一年如一日，阿强身穿黑色工字背心，在猛火与油烟机的夹缝里挥汗如雨，臂围从32炒到35。 他的节奏是“哒，哒，哒哒哒，哒”，BPM=140版的 <Believer> 前奏。 First things first, I'm gonna say all the words inside my head I'm fired up and tired of the way that things have been, oh-ooh The way that things have been, oh-ooh 不时溅出的豆芽、香肠、米粉，散落在不锈钢灶台上。 阿强炒粉没有预制菜，预制菜成就不了阿强。 预制菜在装潢高级的商场里，在小资的 Bistro 里，在干净明亮、整齐有序后厨一排排摆放的白色微波炉里。 唯独不在阿强炒粉里。 预制菜是餐饮业的“白色恐怖”。当产地各异、个性鲜明的各类食材从农场统一运输到“中央厨房”，在预设的精确参数下，经严格品控，遵循 SOP 被加工制成各品类美食。 叮～你的黄焖鸡/鱼香肉丝/红烧狮子头好咯～ 酸甜苦辣被高度抽象和标准化，预制菜在阉割我们的味蕾，阉割的是我们对不确定性的接受度和敏感度。 /2 英剧《黑镜》第一季第二集里，男主用玻璃碎片抵着脖子试图找回生活的唯一真实，却被评委认为是“表演”并打出高分，让他创建了自己的电视节目，节目中他可以继续哭诉现实。 他知道自己在没有服用药水下神智是清醒的，但却难以招架诱惑，没有继续反对制度而是选择接受。 他因对抗制度而被制度化。 节目的最后，他盯着巨大的玻璃墙，墙外是广袤的森林。留给观众思考，他到底是在看窗户还只是一块更大的电脑屏幕。 被圈养的玩宠，是否只是被升级到大一点的牢笼？ /3 曾经由社区驱动，具有反叛精神和嬉皮士文化的 Meme 如今变成 VC 速通盘。 叙事是预制的，炒作和做市路径是预制的，预制币在摧毁“叙事”这件事。 你说你买了 RFC 是在嘲讽白左，拜托你只是想赚钱而已。 现在的 Meme 是币圈奶头乐。霸道总裁爱上你，你亿万富豪丈夫的双面人生，宅男华丽蜕变复仇归来。 被cx、买入、cx、下跌、补仓、自我洗脑、浇给、下一个。 最黑色幽默的点在于，你在扮演你认可叙事，甚至自我感动热泪盈眶，同时小心翼翼地透过指缝偷瞄K线，以确定自己的情感是否正常，决定应该继续fomo还是fud。 当我们这么做的时候，Meme 不再反叛，它成为了一个工具——扩大传播、价值变现的工具。 刻奇是一种自我愚弄，望周知。 😈 吃预制菜，炒预制币，享预制人生。 赚钱就是硬道理，我佩服各位链上皇，同时我也毫不掩饰对现在 Meme 的厌恶。 希望看到本文的你，能对目前 pvp 的残酷有清醒认识，实在要p，先将脑子质壁分离，保持理性，下功夫研究叙事和资金动向。说实话，链上皇就算不p，也肯定会在别的地方拿到结果——胆大、心细、敢重仓、拿得住，除了胆大你能做到几样？