Analysis: The Correlation Between Bitcoin and US Stocks Continues to Weaken, Gold May Become a Leading Indicator for BTC

CryptoQuant analyst Timo Oinonen released a report stating that the most important current trend for Bitcoin is its decoupling from US stock indexes. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has significantly diverged from the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite Index, with its correlation to traditional stocks and tech stocks weakening. The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has decreased from 0.88 at the end of 2024 to 0.77, and its correlation with the Nasdaq has also dropped from 0.91 in January to 0.83. Notably, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold is strengthening, with the coefficient rising from -0.62 at the beginning of the month to the current -0.31. Historically, Bitcoin has often lagged behind gold's performance by several months. If the current decoupling trend from stock indexes continues, with other conditions remaining unchanged, gold may become a leading indicator for Bitcoin.