- Bitcoin shows strength, but conviction-based investing is declining fast
- Speculative capital dominates crypto as long-term investors exit or seek quick gains
- BTC price action and signals suggest potential climb toward $100K amid strong demand
Bitcoin continues to climb, gaining over 10% in the past week. Yet beneath the surface, a deeper transformation is underway in the crypto market. As observed by Ki-Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, the era of value-driven investment seems to have faded.
He observes that since 2018, many original long-term crypto believers have either left the market or shifted to seeking short-term profits.
The focus now, Ju argues, involves fast, speculative capital chasing quick returns across a volatile landscape, with potentially less commitment to the long-term vision for many projects beyond Bitcoin itself.
Related: This Bitcoin 2016 Fractal Could Send XRP Price Towards $6: Analysis
Ki-Young Ju: Has Crypto Investing Shifted From Conviction to Speculation?
Ju points out that over the years, Web3 projects have struggled to achieve meaningful adoption. Consequently, builders and investors alike face increasing pressure. Most projects no longer attract dedicated backers, and even the strongest believers are showing signs of fatigue.
Related: Q2 Bitcoin Outlook Brightens on Favorable Macro Shifts, Technical Strength
With the flow of capital moving rapidly between assets, often with little fundamental support, the nature of crypto investing has become transactional. Ki-Young Ju notes that today’s environment rewards speed over conviction, creating an atmosphere that leaves little room for patient innovation.
Additionally, the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s supply and demand further complicates things. Historical analysis of Bitcoin’s price versus its 365-day moving average signal reveals a predictable rhythm. Peaks near the 0.6–0.8 signal range have consistently marked overbought phases.
Source: X
In contrast, troughs around -1.2 tend to precede major rallies, marking accumulation zones. The current upward trajectory in this signal suggests increasing demand. However, it has not yet reached historically significant peaks, hinting that Bitcoin could still have room to grow, possibly toward the $100,000 level.
Bitcoin Consolidation Hints at Upward Breakout
According to analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin is currently trading within a horizontal channel. The price recently bounced off the key support level of $83,200. This reaction suggests strong buying interest and may lead to a retest of resistance near $84,500.
Should momentum continue, Bitcoin could break toward the upper boundary near $85,800 . A confirmed move beyond that level would indicate a bullish trend continuation.
As of press time, Bitcoin trades at $84,830.17 with a daily volume exceeding $23 billion. The current trend shows resilience, even as broader investor behavior shifts.
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