Trump’s Tariffs Send Crypto Market Plummeting: Analyst Takes an In-Depth Look at What It Means for Bitcoin! “Incredible for BTC…”
What is the significance of US cryptocurrency-friendly President Donald Trump's tariff move for Bitcoin? Here is the analyst's view.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp decline following US President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China.
However, Bitwise analyst Jeff Park believes that this economic turbulence could accelerate Bitcoin’s growth thanks to underlying financial dynamics and strategic policy moves.
According to Park, the current tariff strategy should be viewed through the lens of two key factors: the Triffin dilemma and Trump’s personal economic goals. The Triffin dilemma highlights the challenges that arise when a national currency also serves as the world’s reserve currency. This creates three major impacts:
- Overvaluation of the US Dollar – Its value remains artificially high as global economies hold the dollar as reserves.
- Persistent US Trade Deficits – The US has to run perpetual trade deficits to supply the world with dollars.
- Cheap Government Borrowing – The US is able to borrow money at lower costs than it should.
Park explains that the US aims to fix the first two clauses by using tariffs as a negotiating tool, while benefiting from the third. The ultimate goal, Park says, is to push for a multilateral agreement that would devalue the dollar, similar to the Plaza Accord of today. This could involve changing the structure of US Treasury holdings while forcing countries to reduce their dollar reserves.
Beyond global trade, Park highlights Trump’s personal economic motivations, particularly his interest in lowering the 10-year Treasury yield. Trump’s ability as a real estate investor to benefit from low interest rates explains his pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower rates. Park predicts Trump will take whatever measures are necessary to lower the 10-year Treasury yield.
Park argues that tariffs will trigger a weakening of the dollar and a decline in US interest rates, leading to a surge in US risk assets. Meanwhile, foreign countries affected by tariffs could resort to economic stimulus policies, further weakening their currencies. He argues that this scenario will push global investors to seek alternatives, and Bitcoin will be the biggest beneficiary.
Unlike past economic crises, today’s digital age allows global assets to move instantly. Park envisions a scenario where both sides of the trade war, U.S. investors looking for protection and foreign citizens struggling with currency depreciation, turn to Bitcoin as a store of value. The result? A rapid and dramatic increase in Bitcoin’s price, according to the analyst.
Summarizing his analysis, Park argues that a prolonged tariff war would create an ideal environment for Bitcoin’s continued rise. Rejecting traditional economic models that do not take geopolitical maneuvers into account, Park argues that Bitcoin’s price will rise faster than most people predict.
“You have yet to grasp how great a sustained tariff war would be for Bitcoin in the long run,” Park concluded.
*This is not investment advice.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Cboe BZX Exchange proposes options trading on spot Ethereum ETFs
Spot Ethereum ETFs made their debut last July and earlier this week witnessed their largest day of trading volume ever.Options trading on spot Bitcoin ETFs officially went live for the first time on Nov. 19, 2024 — and now they might be coming to Ethereum.
BlackRock plans bitcoin exchange-traded product for European market: report
Asset management giant BlackRock is preparing a bitcoin-based ETP product to be listed in Europe, according to Bloomberg.The financial instrument will likely be based out of Switzerland.
Berachain outlines tokenomics ahead of mainnet launch and airdrop
The Berachain Foundation outlined Berachain’s tokenomics and unveiled a BERA airdrop checker ahead of its mainnet launch on Thursday.Some 15.8% of the token’s initial 500 million genesis supply will be airdropped to Berachain community members, applications and liquidity providers.
MicroStrategy rebrands as 'Strategy' in move to emphasize its bitcoin position
The brand’s primary color is now orange, which it says represents energy, intelligence and Bitcoin.The company’s total bitcoin holdings stand at 471,107, worth around $44 billion.