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BitMEX co-founder expects $BTC to hit $110K before retesting $76.5K Arthur Hayes, co-founder of the BitMEX crypto exchange, forecasted via X that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to tap $110,000 before retesting $76,500. U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell noted that the

On the daily chart, bitcoin is emerging from a descending trajectory that began near the $99,508 mark, bottoming around $76,680 before transitioning into a lateral consolidation phase with slight upward momentum. Candlestick structures exhibit reduced body size, reflecting market indecision or early accumulation behavior. Price currently hovers just above key support near $83,000, with stronger foundational support seen at $76,700. Resistance is identified between $88,000 and $89,000, and if a bullish daily candle closes above $86,000 with corresponding volume, a swing entry targeting $89,000 or more may materialize. Traders should remain alert for signs of rejection near the upper resistance area to manage exit timing. BTC/USD 1D chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025. From a four-hour chart perspective, bitcoin has shown a gradual recovery from the $81,138 level up to $87,470 before entering a corrective phase. Despite the pullback, the asset has formed higher lows, indicative of ongoing bullish pressure. Resistance remains firmly planted at $87,470, while support has developed around $83,500. A breakout above this resistance with sustained volume could open the door for a short-term climb toward $88,500 or higher. Conversely, failure to clear resistance amid rising selling pressure would increase the likelihood of a retracement to the $83,500 region. BTC/USD 4H chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025. Short-term price action on the one-hour chart suggests bitcoin is forming a clean upward channel, with momentum supported by increasing buy-side volume. The price has lifted from $83,682 to a session high of $85,233, and maintaining a position above $85,000 is key to sustaining bullish sentiment. An intraday retest and reclaim of $85,233 would likely trigger momentum toward $86,000 to $86,500 in the short term. A breakdown below $84,000 on increasing sell volume would undermine bullish setups and trigger stop-losses among aggressive long positions. BTC/USD 1H chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025. Oscillator signals paint a mixed technical picture across the board. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 48, stochastic at 71, and the commodity channel index (CCI) at 13, all reflecting neutral momentum. The average directional index (ADX) at 32 suggests a trend is present but lacks strong conviction. The awesome oscillator is currently at −2,622 and also neutral. However, both the momentum indicator at 4,154 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at −1,680 are flashing bullish signals, supporting a modestly bullish bias. Moving averages (MAs) are currently sending divergent signals depending on the timeframe. The exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) for 10 and 20 periods all suggest positive factors, ranging between $84,178 and $85,228. Mid-range signals, including the 30-period EMA and SMA, turn bearish, with values near $86,060 to $86,671. Longer-term moving averages — including 50, 100, and 200-period indicators — skew bearish, except for the 200-period simple moving average (SMA), which stands at $84,893 and still supports the price. This layered outlook indicates that while immediate momentum is upward, the broader market structure is still unwinding from prior highs. Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing high to local lows across the one-hour, four-hour, and daily timeframes reinforce this technical complexity. Price reactions are likely around the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels, offering opportunities for tactical entries during pullbacks. Stop-losses should be placed beneath the 78.6% or 100% retracement thresholds to manage downside risk. For traders eyeing profit-taking strategies, reversals are likely near the 0% and 23.6% zones, aligned with near-term resistance bands observed on all timeframes. If bitcoin maintains support above $85,000 and secures a decisive hourly or four-hour close above $85,233—particularly with volume acceleration—a retest of $86,500 to $88,500 becomes highly probable. The presence of bullish signals on the momentum indicator and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), coupled with bullish structure on shorter timeframes and strengthening exponential moving averages (EMAs), supports a continuation toward the upper resistance at $89,000. The bullish case strengthens if the daily chart confirms a close above $86,000. Should bitcoin fail to hold the $84,000 support level, especially under rising sell volume, the upward momentum would be invalidated and the price could revert to testing lower support zones around $83,000 and potentially $81,138. The majority of long-term exponential and simple moving averages (including the 50, 100, and 200-period levels) are still aligned in sell territory, indicating that macro bearish pressure persists. Neutral oscillators further emphasize that bitcoin remains vulnerable to downside risk if volume fails to accompany any breakout attempts. 免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

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