Курс Tornado CashTORN

Have seen quite a few takes about how tariffs are good for bitcoin or good for the US economy or how this is just market manipulation. But bitcoin is mainly a risk asset. Tariffs this aggressive are very negative for risk assets. And the economy will take a hit. The tariffs announced are considerably worse than what was expected by the market, as gradual tariffs or delayed implementation were seen as alternatives. So the S&P futures will open deeply in the red tonight and flush. The hope for crypto is that it has already dropped a lot in anticipation, considerably reducing the downside. Particularly so for alts, which have been demolished. I'm torn between the entire market putting a major local bottom on Monday, or BTC re-testing the bottom of the range (90k). Maybe both. Then we have to hope retaliation is not extreme. And hope that the US and other countries find common ground fast so tariffs may be pared back fast, and soon. Yes, that's a lot of hoping. Headline risk is going to be major in the coming days. Both ways. News of any agreements would send risk assets soaring. Macro-wise, expect the dollar to surge further at first. Then unless tariffs pared back the US economy would take a hit, weakening the dollar. Tariffs would drive inflation, possibly a one-time hit, possibly not, either way turning the Fed hawkish. Question is how much. More uncertainty. This would be enough to start a sustained bearish trend were not for significant upside risk as well coming from the tax cutting and deregulation fronts, which makes things very murky. I am aware readers generally seek for clear directional ways and reassurance. Unfortunately can't provide that at the time. I still don't think the cycle top is in, and expect equity indices to print ATHs later in the year. But the probability of being wrong has increased. Particularly on the latter. As I said a week ago, I've taken my long-term hat off. This is a traders' market. p.s.: the time to panic was Saturday, not today.

$XMR price poised for 140% rally after $TORN decision! #Monero’s long consolidation phase might end soon as bullish technicals hint at a potential all-time high. 👉🏻Details:

Several significant token unlocks are scheduled for the upcoming week, involving various cryptocurrencies such as SUI, OP, ZETA, and DYDX. These unlocks are expected to impact the circulating supply and market value of the respective tokens. Below are the details of the major token unlocks set to occur next week: Sui ($SUI ) will unlock approximately 64.19 million tokens on September 1 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This represents 2.47% of its current circulating supply, with an estimated value of $65 million. Optimism ($OP ) is set to unlock around 31.34 million tokens on August 31 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This accounts for 2.64% of its circulating supply, valued at approximately $50.5 million. ZetaChain ($ZETA ) will unlock about 53.89 million tokens on September 1 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This constitutes 15.71% of its circulating supply, with an estimated value of $33 million. $DYDX is scheduled to unlock around 8.33 million tokens on September 1 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This represents 3.67% of its circulating supply, valued at approximately $9.8 million. Yield Guild Games ($YGG ) will unlock approximately 14.08 million tokens on August 27 at 10:00 PM Beijing time. This accounts for 3.70% of its circulating supply, with an estimated value of $6.8 million. Echelon Prime ($PRIME ) is set to unlock around 750,000 tokens on August 31 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This represents 1.68% of its circulating supply, valued at approximately $5.4 million. Ethena ($ENA ) will unlock about 14.89 million tokens on September 1 at 3:00 PM Beijing time. This constitutes 0.82% of its circulating supply, with an estimated value of $5.4 million. SingularityNET ($AGIX ) is scheduled to unlock around 8.32 million tokens on August 28 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This represents 1.58% of its circulating supply, valued at approximately $4.3 million. Manta Network ($MANTA ) will unlock approximately 1.87 million tokens on September 1 at 7:59 AM Beijing time. This accounts for 0.50% of its circulating supply, with an estimated value of $1.5 million. Euler ($EUL ) is set to unlock around 45,600 tokens on August 30 at 6:54 AM Beijing time. This represents 0.24% of its circulating supply, valued at approximately $260,000. Tornado Cash ($TORN ) will unlock about 91,700 tokens on August 29 at 11:30 AM Beijing time. This constitutes 2.41% of its circulating supply, with an estimated value of $220,000. 1inch ($1INCH ) is scheduled to unlock around 64,000 tokens on August 30 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This represents 0.01% of its circulating supply, valued at approximately $18,000. Forta ($FORT ) will unlock approximately 50,000 tokens on September 1 at 8:00 AM Beijing time. This accounts for 0.01% of its circulating supply, with an estimated value of $6,500.

You're right in noting that 2024 marks the anticipated four-year cycle tied to Bitcoin's halving, which historically sparks a new bull run. However, the sentiment this time around seems more cautious than euphoric. Investors and analysts are torn between bullish and bearish signals, leading to this mix of uncertainty. Where We Are in the Cycle 1. Bitcoin Halving: Historically, Bitcoin’s halving event reduces the block rewards miners receive, cutting the supply flow in half. This reduced supply, combined with growing demand, has typically triggered bull runs, usually within 6-12 months post-halving. We’re just in the early phase of this cycle. 2. Market Sentiment: Unlike previous cycles, the current market is more seasoned and less driven purely by hype. The macroeconomic environment is also playing a bigger role—interest rates, inflation concerns, and global market stability influence investor behavior. 3. Liquidity and Regulation Concerns: With increasing regulations in major markets and less speculative retail participation, the liquidity flow into crypto markets is restrained. That’s why even after the halving, we aren’t seeing explosive moves yet. This cautious approach is reflected in the oscillating sentiment: "bull return" one moment, "bear back" the next. What’s Next? 1. Short-Term Volatility: We’re likely in a period of accumulation. The market might remain choppy and range-bound as weak hands exit and strong hands consolidate. Expect sharp price swings as news and sentiment shifts sway the market. 2. Bull Market Likely to Return: While it’s taking longer, a delayed bull cycle is not out of the question. As more institutions enter and blockchain adoption grows across industries, Bitcoin and key altcoins could rally significantly within the next 12-18 months. 3. Macro and Institutional Factors: Global economic shifts, new regulations, and the entrance of institutional capital (like Bitcoin ETFs) could be key triggers. If these factors align favorably, we might see a stronger and more sustainable bull market later in this cycle. Final Thoughts The market seems caught between lingering bearish sentiment and the potential for a delayed but significant bull run. Caution is high, but there’s still optimism for the long-term trend. Keeping an eye on macro trends and Bitcoin’s behavior around key support levels will be crucial in determining the next major move.

You're right in noting that 2024 marks the anticipated four-year cycle tied to Bitcoin's halving, which historically sparks a new bull run. However, the sentiment this time around seems more cautious than euphoric. Investors and analysts are torn between bullish and bearish signals, leading to this mix of uncertainty. Where We Are in the Cycle 1. Bitcoin Halving: Historically, Bitcoin’s halving event reduces the block rewards miners receive, cutting the supply flow in half. This reduced supply, combined with growing demand, has typically triggered bull runs, usually within 6-12 months post-halving. We’re just in the early phase of this cycle. 2. Market Sentiment: Unlike previous cycles, the current market is more seasoned and less driven purely by hype. The macroeconomic environment is also playing a bigger role—interest rates, inflation concerns, and global market stability influence investor behavior. 3. Liquidity and Regulation Concerns: With increasing regulations in major markets and less speculative retail participation, the liquidity flow into crypto markets is restrained. That’s why even after the halving, we aren’t seeing explosive moves yet. This cautious approach is reflected in the oscillating sentiment: "bull return" one moment, "bear back" the next. What’s Next? 1. Short-Term Volatility: We’re likely in a period of accumulation. The market might remain choppy and range-bound as weak hands exit and strong hands consolidate. Expect sharp price swings as news and sentiment shifts sway the market. 2. Bull Market Likely to Return: While it’s taking longer, a delayed bull cycle is not out of the question. As more institutions enter and blockchain adoption grows across industries, Bitcoin and key altcoins could rally significantly within the next 12-18 months. 3. Macro and Institutional Factors: Global economic shifts, new regulations, and the entrance of institutional capital (like Bitcoin ETFs) could be key triggers. If these factors align favorably, we might see a stronger and more sustainable bull market later in this cycle. Final Thoughts The market seems caught between lingering bearish sentiment and the potential for a delayed but significant bull run. Caution is high, but there’s still optimism for the long-term trend. Keeping an eye on macro trends and Bitcoin’s behavior around key support levels will be crucial in determining the next major move.