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A recent analysis of Ethereum’s monthly returns for Q1 2025 reveals a stark decline compared to previous years. The report provides an overview of monthly performance and compares current trends with historical data. The Ethereum Monthly Returns chart from Coinglass covers data from 2016 to early 2025. The chart uses green for positive returns and red for negative returns. The data shows that January 2025 recorded a -1.28% return. February’s return was -31.95%, marking the worst performance in the dataset. March closed at -17.31%, culminating in a Q1 loss of approximately -44.54%. The tweet by Ted stated, “$ETH is on track to close its worst Q1 ever,” which echoes the severe drawdown noted in the analysis. Source : /Ted The three-month loss presents a deep drawdown not seen since the COVID-19 period in 2020. The report notes that Q1 2025 is second only to 2020, when Ethereum suffered major declines. The pattern of three consecutive negative months is rare in the dataset and marks a notable event in Ethereum’s historical performance. The analysis compares Q1 performance from 2016 through early 2025. Ethereum’s Q1 in 2024 and 2023 recorded gains of +55.48% and +47.16%, respectively. These quarters were marked by steady bullish returns that contrast sharply with 2025. In 2021, Ethereum experienced a Q1 return of +121.66% amid a thriving market. The chart also includes volatile periods such as the Q1 decline in 2020 during the COVID crash. Historical data reveals that negative February returns are rare. Typically, February shows positive performance in most years. The 2025 February return of -31.95% stands out as an anomaly among mostly bullish Februarys. Historical trends suggest that strong rebounds often follow deep Q1 losses. The report notes that April and May have averaged positive returns in past years. Historical data shows that April averaged a +22.37% return while May averaged +30.22%. These trends may offer clues for a possible recovery in the upcoming months. The detailed comparison offers a clear view of Ethereum’s challenging start in 2025. The data emphasizes the drastic shift from recent recovery years. The current quarterly performance serves as an essential indicator for traders monitoring Ethereum’s market movement. At the time writing, Ethereum traded at $1,903.93, with a slight 0.10% increase in the last 24 hours. DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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In the crypto space, influencers and self-proclaimed crypto gurus constantly tell you to "do your own research" (DYOR) while presenting coins that will supposedly do 100x or become the "next big thing." They always add, "this is not financial advice," but few actually explain how to do proper research. On top of that, most influencers copy each other, get paid by projects to promote them, and—whether they admit it or not—often contribute to confirmation bias. What is confirmation bias? It’s the psychological tendency to look for information that confirms what we already believe while ignoring evidence that contradicts it. For example, if you want to believe a certain altcoin will 100x, you’ll naturally look for articles, tweets, and videos that say exactly that—while ignoring red flags. How do you distinguish real research from confirmation bias? This article will help you: • Understand confirmation bias and how it affects your investments • Learn how to conduct proper, unbiased research • Discover the best tools and sources for real analysis ________________________________________ What Is Confirmation Bias & How Does It Sabotage Your Investments? Confirmation bias is the tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms what we already believe—while ignoring evidence to the contrary. In crypto, this leads to: ✔️ Only looking for opinions that confirm a coin is "going to the moon" ✔️ Avoiding critical discussions about the project’s weaknesses ✔️ Believing "everyone" is bullish because you're only consuming pro-coin content The result? • You make emotional investments instead of rational ones • You expose yourself to unnecessary risk • You develop unrealistic expectations and are more vulnerable to FOMO ________________________________________ How to Conduct Proper Research & Avoid Confirmation Bias 1. Verify the Team & Project Fundamentals A solid crypto project must have a transparent, experienced team. Check: • Who are the founders and developers? Are they reputable or anonymous? • Do they have experience? Have they worked on successful projects before? • Is the code open-source? If not, why? • Is there a strong whitepaper? It should clearly explain the problem, the solution, and the technology behind it. Useful tools: 🔹 GitHub – Check development activity 🔹 LinkedIn – Verify the team's background 🔹 CoinMarketCap / CoinGecko – Check market data and tokenomics 2. Analyze Tokenomics & Economic Model A project can have great technology but fail due to bad tokenomics. Key questions to ask: • What’s the maximum supply? A very high supply can limit price growth. • How are the tokens distributed? If the team and early investors hold most of the supply, there’s a risk of dumping. • Are there mechanisms like staking or token burning? These can impact long-term sustainability. Useful tools: 🔹 Token Unlocks – See when tokens will be released into circulation 🔹 Messari – Get detailed tokenomics reports 3. Evaluate the Community Without Being Misled A large, active community can be a good sign, but beware of: • Real engagement vs. bots. A high follower count doesn’t always mean real support. • How does the team respond to tough questions? Avoid projects where criticism is silenced. • Excessive hype? If all discussions are about "Lambo soon" and "to the moon," be cautious. Where to check? 🔹 Twitter (X) – Follow discussions about the project 🔹 Reddit – Read community opinions 🔹 [Telegram / Discord] – See how the team handles criticism 4. Verify Partnerships & Investors Many projects exaggerate or fake their partnerships. • Is it listed on major exchanges? Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken are more selective. • Are the investors well-known VCs? Funds like A16z, Sequoia, Pantera Capital don’t invest in just anything. • Do the supposed partners confirm the collaboration? Check their official sites or announcements. Where to verify? 🔹 Crunchbase – Check a project's investors 🔹 Medium – Many projects announce partnerships here 5. Watch the Team's Actions, Not Just Their Words • Have they delivered on promises? Compare the roadmap to actual progress. • What updates have they released? A strong project should have continuous development. • Are they selling their own tokens? If the team is dumping their coins, it’s a bad sign. Useful tools: 🔹 Etherscan / BscScan – Track team transactions 🔹 DefiLlama – Check total value locked (TVL) in DeFi projects ________________________________________ Final Thoughts: DYOR Correctly, Not Emotionally To make smart investments in crypto, you must conduct objective research—not just look for confirmation of what you already believe. ✅ Analyze the team, tokenomics, and partnerships. ✅ Be skeptical of hype and verify all claims. ✅ Use on-chain data, not just opinions. ✅ Don’t let FOMO or emotions drive your decisions. By following these steps, you’ll be ahead of most retail investors who let emotions—not facts—guide their trades.

Bitcoin ($BTC USD) is trading since the February 28 Low within a Falling Wedge pattern, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the same time supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Throughout its dominant Bull Cycle pattern, the +2 year Channel Up, it has formed another 6 such Falling Wedges, all below the 1D MA50 and all turned out to be market bottom formations, which paved the way for an immediate bullish break-out. On all occasions, the 1D CCI has been almost as low as on the February Low. The shortest rebound it made before another break below the 1D MA50, was +26.68% and the highest was +106.96%. As a result this gives us a minimum immediate potential Target of $96800 and a maximum of a little more than $150000. Given that the price has touched the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, like the bottom formations of September 06 2024 and September 11 2023, it is quite likely to see the stronger rebound probability taking place. But what do you think would be the case? Is this a classical Falling Wedge bottom break-out formation and if so what may be the Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!