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Bitcoin begins the week against a backdrop of economic and technical uncertainties. While the symbolic threshold of 82,000 dollars struggles to hold, investors are closely watching market signals. Amid geopolitical tensions, worrying technical indicators, and hopes for a bullish reversal, here are 5 elements to closely monitor this week. In addition to Bitcoin’s dominance, which falls to 58.8% , the first cryptocurrency shows signs of technical fragility this week… Investors are holding their breath. In a context filled with uncertainties, several key signals could influence its trajectory. Here’s what to understand. The weekly Bitcoin chart recently displayed a “bearish engulfing” candle, a feared technical signal indicating a potential downward reversal. This figure formed as BTC finished the week around 81,200 dollars, its lowest level in two weeks. Traders remain cautious, citing compression between the 50-day and 50-week exponential moving averages, which typically precede explosive movements. Some see this decline of Bitcoin as a mere breath in a larger bullish market, while others read it as a loss of momentum. The market is on edge, and the evolution of this technical figure could set the tone for April. On Tuesday, April 2, the United States could strike hard with a new wave of tariffs, dubbed by Donald Trump as “Liberation Day”. Up to 1.5 trillion dollars in imports could be affected, according to The Kobeissi Letter. This trade hardening could create a shockwave on risk assets, including Bitcoin. Additionally, a busy week on the macroeconomic front awaits: employment data, speeches from Jerome Powell, and key publications from the FED could significantly influence market perceptions. The index of economic uncertainty is reaching new heights, making reactions unpredictable. Traders remain on alert: this week could change everything. With a decline of 12.7% for the quarter, Bitcoin records its worst first quarter since 2018 . The drop since the January peak exceeds 30%, while gold continues to set records. However, according to Glassnode data, this correction remains modest compared to previous cycles, some having experienced drawdowns over 60%. Despite this relative underperformance, some analysts, like Daan Crypto Trades, believe the quarter “has not been that terrible.” The lack of volatility could actually favor a gradual restart, as soon as the macro context improves. But for now, caution prevails. The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value), used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued, is currently trending towards its historical average. This decline reflects the exit from an overheating zone, which began after a “death cross” observed in early March. If this signal has often preceded price drops, it does not yet indicate a definitive bottom. According to analyst Yonsei Dent, the market is mimicking past behaviors but remains exposed to a new correction. In the absence of a clear signal of recovery, Bitcoin investors must remain cautious. However, a sustainable recovery could begin if the ratio rebounds after hitting its historical support. The “Coinbase Premium,” an indicator of the confidence of American investors, is once again approaching neutral territory. After a period marked by panic selling, this stabilization indicates renewed interest in Bitcoin in the United States. CryptoQuant emphasizes that this resilience against downward pressure could signal a trend reversal. A positive premium has historically accompanied sustainable bull market phases. If this dynamic is confirmed, it could mean that institutional buyers are back, ready to accumulate BTC at price levels they find attractive. This week, Bitcoin’s trajectory could oscillate between tension and opportunity. If the threshold of 80,000 dollars were to give way sustainably, a pullback to supports at 76,000 dollars or even 72,000 dollars could not be ruled out, particularly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and volatility induced by the new U.S. tariff measures. However, a stabilization of BTC above key moving averages could rekindle bullish momentum. Savvy investors should adopt a cautious approach these days: monitor volumes, avoid impulsive buying, and consider gradual entries into well-identified pullback zones. Patience will be key. This week is therefore poised to be decisive for Bitcoin, and the 80,000 dollar threshold remains the psychological level to watch. Amid trade tensions, ambiguous technical signals, and macroeconomic expectations, investors are navigating a fog of uncertainties. And to make matters worse in this already turbulent April, Bitcoin miners will face a major challenge, that could seriously affect their profitability .

As bitcoin wavers below $85,000, Michael Saylor, the iconoclastic figure of crypto, challenges the turmoil. His company, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), has just poured $1.9 billion into the purchase of 22,000 BTC. A gamble? More like a demonstration of strength. In a market shaken by Trump’s protectionist announcements and macroeconomic uncertainty, Saylor embodies an unwavering conviction: bitcoin remains the Holy Grail of digital assets. As investors panic over Trump’s tariff threats , scheduled for April 2, Saylor doubles down. By acquiring 22,048 BTC at $86,969 each, he exploits a decline seen as an opportunity, not a risk. With 528,000 BTC acquired for $35.63 billion, Strategy now holds 2.5% of the total supply. A record. The average purchase price ($67,458) and the unrealized gains ($7.7 billion) reveal a strategic patience. Saylor does not trade: he accumulates . Like a marathon runner, he ignores the sprinters exhausted by volatility. The announcement of the tariffs has fueled inflationary fears, weighing on risky assets. Yet, Saylor seems to be playing a different game. By buying before April 2, he bets on a broader narrative: bitcoin as a hedge against erratic monetary policies. A bold calculation, where digital gold outperforms traditional gold in the face of geopolitical shocks. Despite its unrealized gains, Strategy risks having to pay a minimum tax of 15% on its profits under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. A first for a publicly traded company. Ironically, this rule, designed to tax tech giants, hits a crypto pioneer. The Biden administration has hardened its stance against crypto assets, but the November election could change everything. Under Trump, the IRS could exempt bitcoin from this controversial taxation. A prospect that would justify Saylor’s steadfastness: by accumulating despite the risks, he bets on a political turnaround. This fiscal standoff extends beyond Strategy. By refusing to sell, Saylor sends a signal to regulators: bitcoin is not a speculative asset but a strategic pillar. An advocacy in action for institutional recognition. The recent decline of bitcoin is just an episode in its meteoric rise. Saylor, by buying $1.9 billion of BTC, reminds us of a forgotten truth: the greatest gains emerge from chaos. Bitcoin is not dead — it is recharging.

HBAR Foundation has officially joined the ERC3643 Association, a strategic move that demonstrates their commitment to expanding the application of Real World Assets (RWA) tokenization. More than just a formality, this collaboration paves the way for broader collaboration with various institutions in utilizing ERC-3643, a standard that has been widely used in issuing and managing blockchain-based assets in a regulatory-compliant manner. In other words, this is like laying a strong foundation before building a magnificent house called the future digital economy. ERC-3643 itself is not a new player. This standard has been used in various cases, including the tokenization of green bonds by major banks such as Citi and ABN AMRO. With its permission-based characteristics, ERC-3643 allows the issuance of digital assets that are more controllable and in accordance with the law. So if you imagine digital assets like building access cards, ERC-3643 ensures that only people with permission can enter. Joining the HBAR Foundation is not just a matter of branding. Through this collaboration, they will encourage more institutions to look at and use ERC-3643, especially on the Hedera network. On the other hand, the position of the HBAR Foundation, which is directly involved in the Hedera Governing Council, gives them the space to align this standard with enterprise needs without having to sacrifice the technological efficiency that is already Hedera’s hallmark. If usually the adoption of new technology takes a long time because large companies tend to be careful, the presence of a proven standard such as ERC-3643 can be a bridge. Moreover, with the HBAR Foundation helping to encourage the use of this standardization, the onboarding process can be faster and with minimal drama. “We’re excited for The HBAR Foundation to join the ERC3643 Association, enabling us in our mission to accelerate institutional adoption of the Hedera network and onchain finance as a whole,” said Sabrina Tachdjian, Head of Fintech & Payments at The HBAR Foundation. In February, Hedera also had two other big news. First, their collaboration with Dell Technologies. Dell will use Hedera to record real-time data from its edge infrastructure. This step is to ensure that the recorded data can be trusted and can be audited at any time. Interestingly, this project also involves testing AI services integrated with the Hedera Consensus Service. So besides the blockchain, there is a touch of AI that makes this project even more relevant. Furthermore, Hitachi, a giant Japanese company, has also officially joined the Hedera Governing Council as the 32nd member. With Hitachi’s entry, Hedera strengthens its foothold in the Asian market. And more importantly, a name as big as Hitachi adds value in terms of credibility. When a company of this class chooses to enter a network, it is a kind of signal to the market that Hedera is not a playful project. On the other hand, CNF had reported a bullish prediction from a crypto analyst for the HBAR token. Based on technical analysis and the breakout of important resistance levels, the analyst sees a potential rally of more than 140% for this token. Meanwhile, as of press time, HBAR is swapped hands at about $0.1601, down 7.49% over the last 24 hours and 16.28% over the last 7 days.

Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) plans to revise the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act so that crypto assets such as Bitcoin can be legally recognized as financial products. Not just digital speculation products, crypto will be treated like stocks or bonds that are strictly regulated by law. In its draft, the FSA wants to regulate crypto asset transactions within the scope of insider trading rules. So, if someone buys crypto based on confidential information from a company or project before it is released to the public, be prepared to be sanctioned. This rule previously only applied to securities, but now Japan wants to include crypto in the same surveillance radar. JUST IN: JAPAN TO LEGALLY CLASSIFY BITCOIN AND CRYPTO AS FINANCIAL PRODUCTS. Source: @rovercrc pic.twitter.com/gBNtt0GMkI — Mario Nawfal’s Roundtable (@RoundtableSpace) March 30, 2025 Interestingly, on March 10, 2025, the Japanese government had already approved a bill that reformed regulations related to crypto brokers and stablecoins. Through this amendment, crypto companies no longer need permits as complicated as exchanges to operate as intermediaries. Furthermore, stablecoin issuers also get flexibility in supporting their coins. Now, they are allowed to use Japanese and US government bonds as collateral. This not only adds credibility but also provides a sense of security for investors who are still wary of the volatile crypto world. If you are still doubting whether Japan is serious about crypto, the story of Remixpoint can be a reminder. The energy consulting firm reported an increase in crypto asset holdings of more than 8,000% in nine months, until the end of 2024. From just 68 million yen in March 2024, they ended the year holding 5.8 billion yen in crypto, about $38 million. The reason? As a hedge against the weakening Japanese yen. Imagine if energy companies started buying Bitcoin like they buy oil for stock. That’s not a whim, but part of a hedging strategy. Are you sure it’s not time to look at crypto from a more serious perspective? On the other hand, stablecoin company Circle, known by its USDC, is also increasingly planting roots in Japan. CNF previously reported that Circle formed a strategic partnership with SBI Holdings and launched Circle Japan KK. Most interestingly, USDC will officially be available in Japan through SBI VC Trade. This will make stablecoins easier to access and support blockchain-based financial innovation in the Land of the Rising Sun. This partnership is not just symbolic. It is like injecting high-octane fuel into the Japanese innovation engine. And with more global companies making Japan their base in Asia, it is clear that the country does not want to be left behind in the global Web3 competition map. If the FSA’s plan actually goes ahead and crypto is categorized as an official financial product, the impact could be huge. Companies that want to sell crypto will have to comply with stricter disclosure standards, similar to stock issuers. On the other hand, this has the potential to attract institutional investors who have so far held back due to unclear rules. However, not everyone may be happy. There are concerns that overly strict regulations will actually stifle innovation or stifle small projects that are still in the development stage. But, amid the chaos of global crypto regulation, Japan’s move could be a model for balancing investor safety with encouraging innovation.

U.S. President Donald Trump has granted pardons to three co-founders and executives of the cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX. This groundbreaking development comes years after the trio pleaded guilty to financial crimes related to the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA). According to a CNBC report , Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, and Samuel Reed, who co-founded digital asset firm BitMEX, were granted a presidential pardon on Friday, March 28th, 2025 As noted in our previous post, Arthur Hayes and Ben Delo pleaded guilty to violating the Bank Secrecy Act while at BitMEX’s helm. Each agreed to pay $10 million in penalties. Similarly, BitMEX was found guilty of operating without the necessary compliance measures with the right authorities. The trading firm was charged for illegal financial transactions on its platform. In addition, federal prosecutors stated that despite publicly claiming to restrict U.S. users, the exchange continued to serve them during the period it was charged for. A US District Judge pronounced a $100 million fine on the company earlier this year, concluding the case. Likewise, the founders and executives received different sentences, including probation alongside financial penalties. As we covered in our latest report, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes was sentenced to six months of home confinement in May 2022, along with a two-year probation. Delo and Reed also received probation as part of their penance. With President Trump’s pardon, these BitMEX founders are now free from any legal consequences tied to their convictions. Following the presidential pardons, reactions in the digital asset community remain contentious. For example, supporters of the BitMEX executives argue that they were unfairly targeted and that enforcing financial regulations in the cryptocurrency industry has been inconsistent. Other community members believe the charges were necessary to uphold legal standards in digital finance. The US Department of Justice (DoJ) had maintained that BitMEX knowingly failed to comply with financial laws. Officials highlighted that the company’s lack of oversight created opportunities for illegal activities, which could have been prevented with proper policies. The case had been closely watched within the cryptocurrency industry, as it set a precedent for how regulators handle compliance failures in digital asset exchanges. In related news, Hawk Tuah girl Hailey Welch, popular for her connection with the controversial $HAWK token, has been cleared of wrongdoing after a lengthy investigation by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Meanwhile, Under President Donald Trump, regulatory trends around crypto have improved. As we mentioned in our previous news brief, the US SEC has dismissed its case with Ripple Labs, with the firm also closing its counter-appeal. Like Ripple, Coinbase, Uniswap, and Robinhood, among other firms, have also seen their respective legal cases closed.