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Sell in May and go away? 🤔 This May’s about to get violent — what’s your play? 👇

21Shares has become the latest asset manager to officially file for a spot Dogecoin (DOGE) ETF , signaling a growing institutional interest in the meme coin. On Tuesday, Nasdaq submitted the 19b-4 form to list and trade the 21Shares Dogecoin ETF . This step follows the initial S-1 registration filed by 21Shares on April 9, which also announced an exclusive partnership with the House of Doge to develop Dogecoin-backed financial products. This move isn’t just another filing—it reflects an important evolution: Dogecoin, once seen as a joke, is now being taken seriously within the U.S. financial system. The political and regulatory landscape has shifted significantly in 2025. Following Paul Atkins' appointment as the new SEC Chairman under President Donald Trump , the SEC has shown a distinctly pro-crypto attitude. Atkins openly criticized the previous administration's approach, blaming it for stifling innovation through excessive regulatory hurdles. This new leadership has already paved the way for several spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 and spot Ethereum ETFs in July 2024. Analysts believe this friendlier atmosphere greatly improves the odds for altcoin ETFs, especially Dogecoin, which Bloomberg analysts gave a 75% approval probability earlier this year. With the SEC’s recent history of approving Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs—and the Trump administration's openly favorable stance toward crypto—there's a strong possibility that a Dogecoin ETF could be greenlighted within months. Bloomberg Intelligence projected a 75% chance of approval for Dogecoin ETFs, trailing only Litecoin at 90%. The approval process, however, still involves a critical review period once the 19b-4 filing is acknowledged and published in the Federal Register. Assuming no major setbacks, the earliest potential approval could come later in 2025. Historically, ETF approvals for crypto assets have had a bullish impact on their respective token prices. When the spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in early 2024, Bitcoin’s price surged by over 40% in a few weeks. If Dogecoin’s ETF gets approved, it could trigger a similar rally, especially given its current modest price around $0.18. A successful Dogecoin ETF could not only attract institutional investors but also reignite retail excitement, possibly pushing DOGE back toward its previous all-time highs and beyond. Conservative projections suggest that an ETF launch could drive DOGE to $0.30–$0.40 initially, with further upside if the broader crypto market remains bullish. While Dogecoin was created as a joke in 2013 , its popularity, branding, and community have sustained its relevance. Partnering with the Dogecoin Foundation and House of Doge adds credibility and infrastructure around the project, which may be exactly what institutional investors need to get serious about allocating funds into DOGE. However, investors must remember that Dogecoin remains highly volatile and more meme-driven compared to Bitcoin or Ethereum. Any ETF investment would still carry significant risk, albeit with potentially large rewards if mainstream adoption accelerates. If the 21Shares Dogecoin ETF is approved —likely under the new SEC regime—Dogecoin could see an explosive upside movement. Based on historical ETF approval reactions and Dogecoin’s loyal fanbase, a price rally toward the $0.30–$0.50 range seems plausible by late 2025. However, as always in crypto markets, caution is key. External macro factors, regulatory updates, and broader market sentiment will all play crucial roles in shaping Dogecoin’s next big move. 21Shares has become the latest asset manager to officially file for a spot Dogecoin (DOGE) ETF , signaling a growing institutional interest in the meme coin. On Tuesday, Nasdaq submitted the 19b-4 form to list and trade the 21Shares Dogecoin ETF . This step follows the initial S-1 registration filed by 21Shares on April 9, which also announced an exclusive partnership with the House of Doge to develop Dogecoin-backed financial products. This move isn’t just another filing—it reflects an important evolution: Dogecoin, once seen as a joke, is now being taken seriously within the U.S. financial system. The political and regulatory landscape has shifted significantly in 2025. Following Paul Atkins' appointment as the new SEC Chairman under President Donald Trump , the SEC has shown a distinctly pro-crypto attitude. Atkins openly criticized the previous administration's approach, blaming it for stifling innovation through excessive regulatory hurdles. This new leadership has already paved the way for several spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 and spot Ethereum ETFs in July 2024. Analysts believe this friendlier atmosphere greatly improves the odds for altcoin ETFs, especially Dogecoin, which Bloomberg analysts gave a 75% approval probability earlier this year. With the SEC’s recent history of approving Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs—and the Trump administration's openly favorable stance toward crypto—there's a strong possibility that a Dogecoin ETF could be greenlighted within months. Bloomberg Intelligence projected a 75% chance of approval for Dogecoin ETFs, trailing only Litecoin at 90%. The approval process, however, still involves a critical review period once the 19b-4 filing is acknowledged and published in the Federal Register. Assuming no major setbacks, the earliest potential approval could come later in 2025. Historically, ETF approvals for crypto assets have had a bullish impact on their respective token prices. When the spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in early 2024, Bitcoin’s price surged by over 40% in a few weeks. If Dogecoin’s ETF gets approved, it could trigger a similar rally, especially given its current modest price around $0.18. A successful Dogecoin ETF could not only attract institutional investors but also reignite retail excitement, possibly pushing DOGE back toward its previous all-time highs and beyond. Conservative projections suggest that an ETF launch could drive DOGE to $0.30–$0.40 initially, with further upside if the broader crypto market remains bullish. While Dogecoin was created as a joke in 2013 , its popularity, branding, and community have sustained its relevance. Partnering with the Dogecoin Foundation and House of Doge adds credibility and infrastructure around the project, which may be exactly what institutional investors need to get serious about allocating funds into DOGE. However, investors must remember that Dogecoin remains highly volatile and more meme-driven compared to Bitcoin or Ethereum. Any ETF investment would still carry significant risk, albeit with potentially large rewards if mainstream adoption accelerates. If the 21Shares Dogecoin ETF is approved —likely under the new SEC regime—Dogecoin could see an explosive upside movement. Based on historical ETF approval reactions and Dogecoin’s loyal fanbase, a price rally toward the $0.30–$0.50 range seems plausible by late 2025. However, as always in crypto markets, caution is key. External macro factors, regulatory updates, and broader market sentiment will all play crucial roles in shaping Dogecoin’s next big move.

NodeOps, a top blockchain node orchestration platform, has announced a major milestone as it becomes a key validator partner for several enterprises in the crypto venture capital space. In an announcement, NodeOps said it had partnered with Maven 11, Spartan Group, Bitscale Capital, Momentum 6, and ARC Community, among other enterprises. The platform is now a key node operator for these firms, bringing its plug-and-play Node-as-a-Service solution to more industry players. NodeOps’ traction as a validator has seen it attract more than 705,000 verified users. “Trusted by enterprises and institutional-grade validators alike, NodeOps combines real-time AI-powered monitoring with top-notch security, simplicity, and scalability,” Naman Kabra, co-founder and chief executive officer of NodeOps said. “As companies are moving away from managing their own infrastructure, NodeOps is becoming the preferred partner for those seeking reliability and future-ready solutions,” he added. Data from Dune showed the platform netted more than $460k in revenue over 30 days. The milestone puts NodeOps among the top three platforms by revenue in the decentralized physical infrastructure network market. The validator platform’s total revenue, per Dune data , currently stands at over $3.6 million. As crypto.news highlighted , NodeOps’ total revenue surpassed $2.5 million in February 2025. Growth has come amid rising institutional adoption. Month-on-month revenue has grown from $180,000 in February to $388,000 in March and $547,000 in April. NodeOps is self-sustainable, with its revenue coming from its core functionality and offerings, as opposed to tapping into the traditional token-based approach. The $NODE token serves as the network’s economic backbone, driving decentralization and ecosystem growth. Meanwhile, NodeOps has over 113,000 monthly active users, with MAU subscriptions rising amid a surge of partner chains to 51. Key partners include EigenLayer, Aethir, OffChain Labs, Polygon, 0G Labs, and Movement Labs, among others. NodeOps currently boasts about $90 million in assets under management.

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Based on Bitcoin's four-year cycle and a power curve fit of Bitcoin's market cap in gold ounces, $450,000 is in play for November or December of this year. Geopolitical factors are likely driving gold's price increase. Asymmetrical demand for gold over Bitcoin cautions expectations for BTC/GOLD pairs in the near term. -- Bitcoin, measured in gold, has deviated from previous cycles. Bitcoin's USD price isn't the problem. Gold has risen 41% over the last year and 67% over the last two years. Not bad for a 22 trillion dollar asset. Historically, Bitcoin's market cap (in gold ounces) has followed a power curve with time. For that to hold, Bitcoin's USD price would need to appreciate proportionally due to the recent move in gold's USD price. I personally think this power relationship will hold, which means gold will pull Bitcoin up with it. Bitcoin also goes though these freakishly regular four-year cycles. In the plot below, I overlay previous cycles that are scaled using the power curve fit. This gives me some rough idea of where I think Bitcoin could go this cycle. I'll drop a video in this thread that shows how that cycle overlay process works. Based on that analysis, Bitcoin's price would need to rise 4.8x to match the mean of previous cycles. At roughly $95,000 per Bitcoin, a 4.8x is $456,000. I measure Bitcoin relative to gold to account for inflation, but the value of the dollar isn't the only thing driving golds prices. Non-western countries have been moving away from the dollar and are buying gold. Bitcoin likely will not see a proportional demand from nation states, at least not in the next year. That's important because that demand asymmetry between Bitcoin and gold would naturally cause in a decrease in BTC/GOLD. It's also possible that gold's peaked already and if gold's price decreases then the USD forecast for BTC would decrease. If the combined impact of the demand asymmetry and a potential gold decline reduces that 4.8x multiplier by half, we'd still be looking at a BTC-USD cycle high of $228,000 in November/December of this year. tl;dr: The four-year cycle and gold price action suggest we keep an open mind to significant Bitcoin returns in Q3 and Q4 of 2025.