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U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick: Multiple (trade) agreements will be announced in the next week or so U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick said the tax bill is expected to pass next week or two. Confident consensus on SALT. Tariff schedule does not need to be adjusted if legislation changes. Multiple (trade) deals to be announced in the next week or so. Europe is doing well after a slow start. I am optimistic about reaching a deal with the EU and will finalize the deal. Close to a deal with India. July 9 will be the deadline for reaching a reciprocal tariff agreement, when countries will be placed in corresponding tariff categories. Key measures will come after major legislation.

The largest digital asset, Bitcoin, surged past the $107,000 mark on Tuesday. This was driven by sustained demand from institutional investors and a notable streak of inflows into U.S. spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The move marks a renewed wave of confidence in the cryptocurrency market. This also follows recent geopolitical and regulatory shifts. According to data from SoSoValue , the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a combined inflow of $588.55 million on June 24. The inflow topped $547.7 million on June 25. This marks the twelfth consecutive day of net inflows, bringing the total to more than $3.8 billion. These mark some of the strongest single-day totals in over a month. This highlights renewed investor interest despite ongoing macroeconomic concerns. Per the update, BlackRock’s IBIT led the pack with $436.32 million in inflows, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the total on June 24. Fidelity’s FBTC followed with $85.16 million, while ARK Invest’s ARKB recorded $43.85 million. Bitwise’s BITB, Grayscale’s GBTC, and VanEck’s HODL added another $23.22 million collectively. Several smaller ETFs, however, saw no activity. On June 25, BlackRock also led with inflows of over $340 million. Other ETFs recorded almost similar patterns. Notably, the increased demand appears linked to easing tensions in the Middle East. On June 24, as noted in our earlier post, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. This brought a temporary calm after two weeks of conflict. The announcement helped reduce fears of oil price shocks and inflation, improving overall market sentiment. Additionally, Bitcoin reacted swiftly, rising by 6.1% to reach $106,718 at the time of writing, and later pushing above $107,000. The move past the psychological $105,000 level has been interpreted by many as confirmation of upward momentum. As of the time of writing, MarketCap data indicates that Bitcoin was trading at $107,490.30, representing a 2.36% increase over the past 7 days. While this was unfolding, CNF reported that Metaplanet announced its board had approved a $5 billion capital contribution to its wholly owned U.S. subsidiary. The company also revealed plans to expand its Bitcoin treasury holdings. It is worth noting that, beyond the ceasefire news, other significant factors have contributed to Bitcoin’s current rally. On June 23, the Federal Reserve removed the term “reputational risk” from its bank supervision rules. Analysts view this as a potential gateway for banks to engage more freely with crypto-related firms, opening more doors for integration. Similarly, major institutions are increasing their holdings. As we discussed earlier, Michael Saylor’s Strategy recently added $26 million worth of Bitcoin to the company’s treasury. This brought the firm’s total holdings to 592,345 Bitcoin. In addition, Anthony Pompliano recently introduced ProCap, a new Bitcoin treasury firm. The firm has already acquired over 4,000 Bitcoin units to maintain a healthy catch-up with existing rivals. Meanwhile, Trump Media has filed to launch the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF. The firm will hold 75% Bitcoin and 25% Ethereum. As highlighted in a previous news brief, a report from Bybit shows that Bitcoin now accounts for 32% of the average investor’s portfolio. This is up from 25.4% in November 2024. It also reflects a growing perception of the asset as a more stable, long-term investment.

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Bitcoin's Ambitious Horizon: Experts Predict a Multi-Million Dollar Surge in This Cycle! Beyond $100,000: Unpacking Expert Forecasts for Bitcoin to Climb Above $160,000 in the Current Bull Run! Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, continues to defy expectations and reshape the global financial landscape. Following its fourth halving event and navigating various market dynamics, the pivotal question on every investor's mind is: how high can Bitcoin truly go in this current bull cycle? A growing consensus among prominent analysts and sophisticated price models suggests an impressive answer: Bitcoin is poised to break the $160,000 barrier. This ambitious target, equivalent to approximately $160,000 - $165,000 USD (depending on the current exchange rate), marks a significant leap from its current trading range around $107,900 USD (as of June 27, 2025). What fundamental drivers and technical signals are fueling these bold predictions, and what makes experts confident in Bitcoin's potential to reach such a monumental valuation within this cycle? Let's delve into the detailed analysis. 1. The Consensus: Ambitious Price Targets in the Current Cycle The prediction that Bitcoin will reach $160,000 in this cycle is far from arbitrary; it's a converging point for several respected analytical models and expert opinions. Hadley Stern from Marinade Finance: Acknowledging the market's tendency to get "stuck" at psychological levels like $100,000 (similar to the $10,000 phase years ago), Stern believes Bitcoin is ready to move past it definitively. He projects that Bitcoin could climb as high as $160,000 in this cycle before potentially stabilizing around $120,000 post-peak. While some might view this as a conservative estimate compared to more extreme forecasts, Stern emphasizes it as a realistic and "excellent top for this cycle." CryptoCon's Golden Ratio Multiplier: This widely followed logarithmic model, which has accurately predicted Bitcoin's cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021, points to $160,000 as the next major target for this cycle's final peak. CryptoCon suggests that the current market phase resembles April 2017, right before a significant rally, indicating a "slower buildup, then all at once" surge. Brave New Coin's Bull Pennant: Technical analysis from Brave New Coin (June 26, 2025) identifies a "bull pennant" pattern forming on Bitcoin's charts. This continuation pattern, typically seen after a strong rally followed by consolidation, mathematically implies a price target of $165,000 if the breakout occurs to the upside. This would represent a substantial 54% increase from current levels. Broader Analyst Landscape: Beyond these specific models, many other reputable analysts and platforms project Bitcoin prices ranging from $150,000 to $250,000 for the 2025-2026 period. This widespread agreement validates that $160,000 falls comfortably within the expected peak range for this cycle. This growing consensus among various analytical approaches provides a robust foundation for the ambitious price prediction for Bitcoin in this cycle. 2. The Post-Halving Power: An Inevitable Supply Shock Bitcoin's inherent scarcity mechanism, particularly the halving event, serves as a primary, non-negotiable driver behind these bullish price predictions. The most recent halving in April 2024 drastically reduced the new supply of Bitcoin entering the market. Supply Contraction: The halving cut the block reward for miners by 50%, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. This directly creates a "supply shock": the rate at which new Bitcoin is created diminishes significantly, while demand continues to expand, naturally pushing prices upward due to increased scarcity. Historical Precedent: Each previous halving (2012, 2016, 2020) has been followed by a substantial price appreciation for Bitcoin within the subsequent 12-18 months. While the immediate post-halving period often involves a re-accumulation phase, the long-term trend has consistently culminated in new all-time highs. Diminishing Exchange Supply: Recent data (CryptoQuant, June 26, 2025) shows that Bitcoin withdrawals from centralized exchanges have hit a 10-year low, with only about 40,000 BTC moving daily. This signifies that investors are moving their Bitcoin into cold storage, indicating a strong "hodling" (holding for dear life) conviction and a further reduction in immediately available supply for sale. Miners are also withdrawing large amounts (over $240 million in the last 24 hours), reinforcing the dwindling supply narrative. This programmed scarcity, combined with the historical post-halving price action, forms a powerful fundamental argument for Bitcoin's upward trajectory in this cycle. 3. The Institutional Tsunami: Unprecedented ETF Inflows A defining characteristic of the current bull cycle, setting it apart from previous ones, is the unprecedented level of institutional involvement, primarily channeled through spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the U.S. Consistent ETF Inflows: Bitcoin spot ETFs in the US have witnessed remarkable inflows. In June 2025 alone, these ETFs have attracted over $1 Billion USD in net inflows, absorbing more than 9,722 BTC. Over the past 12 days, total net inflows surged to nearly $4 Billion USD, with several days seeing individual inflows exceeding $500 million. This sustained demand from regulated investment vehicles is a powerful force. Weakening US Dollar: This surge in ETF inflows coincides with a decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) to its lowest levels since April 2022. Speculation surrounding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and broader economic shifts are weakening the dollar, making non-sovereign, scarce assets like Bitcoin increasingly attractive as a hedge against currency devaluation. Strategic Institutional Accumulation: Major players like MicroStrategy, under the leadership of Michael Saylor, continue their aggressive accumulation strategy. Saylor famously advocates for "buying the top forever" and states his conviction to "be buying Bitcoin at $1 million a coin." Mirroring this, Metaplanet, a Japanese firm, recently boosted its Bitcoin holdings to over $1.3 billion. Furthermore, companies like Bakkt Holdings are pursuing massive capital raises ($1 billion shelf offering) specifically to invest in digital assets, including Bitcoin, signaling broad corporate interest. Direct Price Impact: Research from K33 Head of Research, Vetle Lunde, emphasizes the direct impact of these ETF inflows, attributing them to explaining approximately 80% of the variance in Bitcoin's 30-day returns. This clearly demonstrates how institutional demand is directly fueling Bitcoin's price appreciation. This massive influx of institutional capital, facilitated by regulated products and supported by macroeconomic tailwinds, creates immense demand pressure on Bitcoin's already constrained supply. 4. Bullish Technical Indicators: Reinforcing the Upward Outlook Technical analysis further supports the optimistic price targets for Bitcoin, with several key indicators signaling a strengthening bullish trend. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: Bitcoin recently formed a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern with a high historical accuracy rate of 78%. This pattern typically suggests a strong potential for upward price reversal, often leading to new highs. On-Balance Volume (OBV) Divergence: Analysts have noted a bullish divergence on the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator, similar to the pattern observed in March-April 2025 that preceded a significant 57% rally. This indicates that buying pressure is accumulating even during periods of price consolidation, signaling a potential breakout. Key Support Holds: Bitcoin has successfully held above the critical $107,000 threshold, converting this former resistance into strong support. Technical analysts view this as a positive sign for continued upward momentum. If this level holds, Bitcoin could test $110,000 - $112,000 and potentially push towards $120,000 - $130,000 in Q3 2025, paving the way for the $160,000-$165,000 target. Supply Crunch on Exchanges: The dramatic drop in Bitcoin available on exchanges to a 10-year low further tightens supply, reinforcing the bullish technical setup by making large sell-offs less likely. These technical signals, combined with the strong institutional demand, reinforce the notion that Bitcoin is building momentum for a significant price surge. Conclusion: Bitcoin's March Towards Historical Valuation The prediction that Bitcoin will reach $160,000 ($160,000 - $165,000 USD) in this cycle is built on a robust foundation. It's a confluence of the post-halving supply shock, the relentless and massive inflow of institutional capital via ETFs, and compelling bullish technical indicators. The current cycle is demonstrating an unprecedented alignment of factors that position Bitcoin for a historical valuation. Upcoming regulatory clarity in the U.S., coupled with the aggressive accumulation strategies of major players and the ever-growing adoption of digital assets, further solidifies the belief that Bitcoin's current price will soon be considered "cheap" in retrospect. Investors are advised to closely monitor these developments, as this cycle holds the potential to redefine Bitcoin's place in the global financial system and mark new milestones for the leading digital asset. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry a high level of risk and volatility. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

DeFi has huge potential, you just have not been seeing the bullish updates recently On RWA - Baillie Gifford, a $260B investment management firm, has launched the UK's first FCA-approved tokenized fund on Ethereum - Real estate firm Cardone Capital has acquired approximately 1,000 BTC and plans to purchase more - Republic, a private investment platform, is planning to tokenize shares of major private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI On Ethereum: - A proposal (EIP-7782) aims to reduce Ethereum block times to 6 seconds - BlackRock and other institutional players have been accumulating significant amounts of ETH, indicating growing confidence in the primary DeFi platform. On-chain - DeFi metrics are reaching new highs, including RWA tokenization ($23B), lending TVL ($56B), and stablecoin supply ($250B). - The supply of USDT has reached a new all-time high of over $156 billion One quick prompt on Infinit is all you need