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Bitcoin’s (BTC) prolonged downturn over the last two months has raised speculation about the end of the bull cycle and the onset of a bear market. While several market analysts continue to predict the cryptocurrency’s short-term price trajectory, only on-chain data and metrics can paint a clear picture. A weekly report from the market intelligence platform CryptoQuant says the Bitcoin Bull Score Model can tell if this drawdown is a temporary correction or the start of a prolonged downturn. Unfortunately, this metric does not paint a bullish scenario for BTC.The Bull Score Model According to CryptoQuant, the Bull Score Model assesses the investment environment for BTC by evaluating nine on-chain indicators and one market metric. Each metric acts as a binary indicator of market conditions and is assigned a value of 1 (bullish) or 0 (bearish) based on rules that evaluate network activity, market liquidity, demand, and investor behavior. The metrics include the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, the Bitcoin Profit and Loss Index, the Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, and the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP). The Bitcoin Bull Score Model also includes indicators like the CryptoQuant Network Activity Index, Stablecoin Liquidity, Bitcoin Demand Growth, Trader On-chain Profit Margin, Trader Realized Price, and Technical Signal. Currently, only two out of the ten metrics – Stablecoin Liquidity and Technical Signal – are flashing bullish signals,signifyinga predominantly bearish market. CryptoQuant said such conditions reveal a lack of strong fundamentals to support and sustain a price rally or recovery. “We can observe that the metrics have switched between bullish and bearish phases multiple times, with extended periods of green indicating strong bullish cycles and prolonged stretches of red corresponding to market conditions. Recently, a significant number of metrics have turned red, particularly since mid-February 2025,” the market analytics platform added.Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle is Over Some metrics, like the Network Activity Index, have been bearish since December 2024,signalinga sustained reduction in network activity. Overall, these metrics are at their least bullish state since January 2023. The Bull Score Model measures the percentage of bullish metrics from 0 to 100, with the former being bearish and the latter being bullish. During past bull markets, BTC has experienced strong rallies with the Bull Score at 60 and above. However, whenever the Bull Score falls below 40, the cryptocurrency has witnessed prolonged downturns aligned with bear markets. Bitcoin’s Bull Score is currently at 20 – its lowest level since January 2023 – signaling a weak investment environment and low chances of a sustained rally in the near term. $BTC

PI/USDT. 1. Calculate the Difference Between Buy and Sell Amounts: Large Orders: Buy: 14.03M Sell: 16.18M Difference: 16.18M - 14.03M = 2.15M (More selling than buying) Medium Orders: Buy: 9.75M Sell: (There's a typo here, it's not a number, but we can't calculate without it. Let's assume it's 10.5M for the sake of analysis. If you have the actual number, please provide it.) Difference: 10.5M - 9.75M = 0.75M (More selling than buying) Small Orders: Buy: 418.5K Sell: 752.6K Difference: 752.6K - 418.5K = 334.1K (More selling than buying) 2. Analyze the Charts and Data: 1d Fund Flow Donut Chart: Red (Sell): The red segments indicate a significant amount of selling pressure. The "Large order sell" (31.95%) and "Small order sell" (27.77%) are substantial. Blue (Buy): The blue segments represent buying. "Medium order buy" (18.70%) and "Simeli occer buy" (0.83%) are present, but the selling clearly outweighs the buying. Overall: The donut chart strongly suggests a bearish sentiment (more people selling than buying) over the past day. 5d Large Order Net Inflow (PI) Bar Chart: Negative Bars: The bars are all negative, indicating a net outflow of funds (more selling than buying) over the last 5 days. Magnitude: The largest negative bar (-44,867,035) suggests a significant sell-off in a particular period. Trend: The consistent negative trend reinforces the bearish sentiment observed in the donut chart. 24h Funds Net Inflow (PI) Line Graph: Fluctuations: The graph shows fluctuations in net inflow, but the overall trend appears to be slightly negative. Spikes: The sharp spikes indicate moments of intense buying or selling activity. Last 24 Hours: The "Last 24 hours" value (910,895.13) is positive, but it's important to note that this is a single point in time and doesn't necessarily contradict the overall bearish trend. 3. Overall Analysis: Dominant Selling Pressure: All three order sizes (large, medium, and small) show more selling than buying, indicating a general bearish sentiment. 5-Day Trend: The 5-day large order net outflow confirms the sustained selling pressure over a longer period. 24-Hour Volatility: While the 24-hour snapshot shows a positive net inflow, the line graph suggests volatility and doesn't negate the overall bearish trend. Potential Reasons for Selling: There could be various reasons for the increased selling, such as negative news, profit-taking after a price rise, or concerns about the overall market. disclaimer : don't agree with me do your investment at your own research and risk.

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