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Imagine you buy an asset priced at $200. If the price drops by 50%, it falls to $100. Now, to get back to its original price of $200, it would need to rise by an overwhelming 100%—double its current value. This is the harsh reality of math. For cryptocurrencies, which have seen even sharper drops of 70-80%, the climb back is far steeper. A coin falling from $200 to $40 needs to increase by a staggering 400% to return to its original value. This is why so many investors find themselves stuck with losses that seem impossible to recover. This basic math explains why 95% of people in the crypto market are losing money. The majority bought in during the hype, before the crash, and now, only a rare "parabolic rise" can save them. For those who bought during the recent dips, the chances are better, but the recovery still depends on extraordinary circumstances. The challenge with this kind of legendary recovery is that there’s no strong reason or narrative to believe it’s coming anytime soon. Even if we assume that a major global event, like the return of a prominent political leader, boosts optimism temporarily, what comes next? Crypto markets almost collapsed even during favorable conditions. If the global economic situation worsens, with economists predicting deflation and a sharp drop in liquidity, the crypto market could face one of its toughest tests yet. This fragility is already evident—despite slight recoveries, most altcoins haven’t regained even 15% of their previous losses. What’s more concerning is the pattern of these price movements. Entire crypto markets often experience synchronized crashes, with hundreds of coins losing value simultaneously and following the same chart patterns. This raises serious questions about the level of manipulation in the market. The entry of institutional players, which many believed would legitimize crypto, has only increased this manipulation. What was once seen as a decentralized space is now controlled by a few powerful players who can move the market at will. For those still hopeful about a crypto rebound, the best strategy is caution. Take profits whenever you see significant gains, no matter how small, and don’t hold on for too long. The crypto winter is not just a possibility; it feels like it’s already creeping in. The recent market volatility is a warning sign, and the days of wild, sustained rallies might be behind us. The truth is, the crypto market has become highly unstable, and without solid fundamentals or clear narratives, the future looks uncertain.

$$ETH  looks scary ‼️ as well as Good on the same,today it's retracing it's 7 years of strong uptrend📈. if this retracement confirms ✅ then a strong dump 📉 is anticipated in $ETH  but IMO, this is gonna be very rare case. On the same side if we got a Weekly close around $2100 🎯 then this Bearish scenario will gets Void❌, we confirm that as a Trap & the rally will be continuing in $ETH  from here🚀.

The Dogecoin is once again flashing on the radars. At $0.13, it teeters on the edge of a technical precipice… or a springboard. The charts whisper a contradictory story: oversold indicators, weakened historical supports, but also signals that have preceded rallies of +400% in 2024. So, is DOGE a neglected gem or a trap for speculators? Crypto experts lean towards the former option… provided the stars align. The DOGE is navigating a critical zone. Its price is currently testing a key support zone: a bullish trendline drawn since 2020, combined with the 200-week exponential moving average ($0.13). This technical crossroads has already served as a springboard for spectacular rebounds. In 2023, a similar setup propelled the crypto by +88% in a matter of weeks. But the real wake-up call comes from the stochastic RSI. This indicator, often overlooked by novices, has just drawn a bullish crossover in oversold territory (below 0.30). A rare signal that has preceded all major DOGE rallies since 2021. “It’s a breath of fresh air for tactical buyers,” explains an anonymous trader, emphasizing that selling pressure is waning. Santiment’s on-chain data reveals a 1.24% increase in wallets holding at least 1 million DOGE since early February, despite the drop in prices. Meanwhile, the number of active addresses has reached a four-month high, a sign of booming network activity. There remains a significant hurdle: the wall at $0.22. A level where the 50-week moving average and a tough resistance zone (March-April 2024) converge. For bulls, crossing this threshold would be akin to breaking a spell. Dogecoin is not a crypto like the others. Born from a joke, adopted by Elon Musk, it embodies the pure psychology of the masses. Today, its rebound potential does not solely rely on the charts. The fundamentals, often mocked, also play a role. Minimal fees ($0.01 per transaction) and an ultra-engaged community make it an unexpected micro-payment tool. Yet, the risk is palpable. If the $0.13 support fails, the drop could reach $0.12, a psychological and technical threshold. Nervous short-term holders could amplify the descent. Dogecoin fascinates as much as it confuses. Undervalued? The technical indicators scream “yes,” but the market remains wary. Experts remind a rule: in crypto, the most mocked assets are often the ones that surprise. In the short term, everything will depend on institutional flows and the appetite for risky assets. A rebound in BTC ETFs or an unexpected announcement (a boost from Musk?) could electrify the prices. But beware of mirages: the DOGE remains a volatile bet.

The president of the Russian central bank has drawn ridicule while trying to rein in bitcoin. While the European Central Bank remains harsh towards bitcoin, the Russian one is not lagging behind. Its president, Elvira Nabioullina, proposes to “reserve it for the wealthiest individuals,” in a context where the gap between the EU and the United States regarding bitcoin is widening . This is reported by the Moscow Times about the international payments that the Russian central bank is making in bitcoins to circumvent the Western financial embargo. Bitcoin proves to be a very valuable ally while waiting for international tensions to ease. These BTC payments are open to banks, insurance companies, and investment funds. However, individuals need an annual income exceeding 50 million rubles (580,000 dollars) to benefit from it. Of course, this restriction only concerns this “experimental system“ hijacked by the central bank. Buying bitcoins is absolutely not prohibited in Russia. That said, businesses are not allowed to accept it as payment. Like Christine Lagarde, for whom bitcoin is “a way out”, Elvira Nabioullina prefers the CBDC. It has existed since last year, but nobody is using it. This distrust contrasts with the opinion of Vladimir Putin, who stated a few months ago: Who can ban bitcoin? No one. Whatever happens to the dollar, these new technologies will develop in one way or another. Is it to preserve the margins of payment companies like Visa, Mastercard, or MIR (Russia)? Probably not, since bitcoin is far from competitive: 6 dollars on average per transaction in 2024. Visa and Mastercard, for their part, take 0.3% on each card transaction (it’s much more outside of Europe and the United States). Their payments are therefore much cheaper in the overwhelming majority of cases. Of course, it is possible to use the Lightning Network (LN) . Fees are 0.02% on average for transactions valued between 100 and 1000 euros. It’s 0.24% for transactions between 1 and 10 euros. Unfortunately, we would have difficulty using the Lightning Network simultaneously. The reason being that depositing bitcoins into your LN wallet requires first completing an “on-chain” transaction. In other words, it would take 50 years for each human to make a single transaction… Transaction fees would explode with every enthusiasm for the LN, preventing any lasting enthusiasm. So there is not much to fear. Bitcoin can only remain a marginal payment currency due to the limit of 1 MB per block, which is at the heart of its decentralization. Moreover, bitcoin cannot replace banks. For that to happen, governments would first have to agree to abandon their money printing presses. Unlikely, but let’s assume that’s the case. Let’s imagine bitcoin is the one and only currency on earth. Let’s engage in a thought experiment by asking how to finance the six EPRs for which the bill is estimated at 70 billion euros. Under normal circumstances, EDF would go to borrow from BNP Paribas, which would create these billions ex nihilo. These billions would then be destroyed as EDF repays them (except for interest, of course). That is the functioning of the “fiat system”. But how to do that if the amount of money in circulation is fixed? How to find the equivalent of 70 billion in BTC? It would literally require persuading 7 million French people to each lend the equivalent of 10,000 euros for 15 years. The scaling-up seems very difficult. Creating money ex nihilo appears essential for any complex society. Not to mention the energy resources. Standard of living = Productivity = machines = energy (and especially oil). Without the abundant and inexpensive energy that productivity requires, wages cannot keep up with inflation exacerbated by the overflowing debts of governments. All this to say that central banks have nothing to fear from bitcoin. Its low transaction throughput and fixed money supply prevent it from replacing payment companies and banks. Its superiority lies elsewhere. Above all, bitcoin allows one to protect against inflation, which disproportionately affects those who cannot afford rare assets like premium real estate. Conversely, anyone can appropriate the best store of value in the history of humanity (bitcoin). It doesn’t matter whether you have a million euros, 10,000 euros, 1,000 euros, or 100 euros in savings. Bitcoin is poised to become the universal reserve currency. And that’s already a lot! Don’t miss our article: Bitcoin – Soon a Russian strategic reserve?

A rare pair of signals not to be ignored.