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Despite Mantle announcing major ecosystem updates, the MNT token remains in a bearish trend—though it has established a new, major support level managed to hold it for the past few weeks. On March 2, Mantle ( MNT ) released a letter to MNT token holders, outlining the project’s plans for Q2 of this year. The key highlights include upcoming launch of Mantle Banking, a unified fiat-crypto neobank, and Mantle Index Four (MI4), a tokenized, institutional-grade crypto fund. Mantle just released their Q2 letter to token holders, revealing some of their biggest moves yet. From a tokenized index fund with an initial commitment $400M to crypto-native banking, and upcoming strategies — there's a lot to unwrap. Here’s your no-fluff overview 👇 pic.twitter.com/UnhTArywjd Additionally, the letter outlined key achievements as the project moves into Q2. Notably, Mantle has integrated EigenDA on mainnet to enhance data availability, attracted over 27K cmETH in its fixed yield vault, and secured Mantle Network ’s modular architecture with 162.9K mETH. FBTC surpassed $1.2 billion in total value locked and expanded across multiple EVM chains. The project has also made strides toward becoming the largest ZK rollup offering institutional-grade security, with OP-Succinct development now live on testnet. Despite these developments , MNT has been in a clear downtrend since Feb. 3, when the price started to consistently make lower lows and lower highs. Around that time, the price also started trading below both the 20-day Exponential Moving Average and 50-day Simple Moving Average. However, it broke above the 20-day EMA for about two weeks in March, while still trading below 50-day SMA. On March 30, MNT dropped back below the 20-day EMA ($0.79) where it continues to hover, currently trading at $0.74. The Relative Strength Index is at 38.60, trending downward but not yet in oversold territory, meaning there’s room for more downside. The MACD indicator remains bearish, with both the MACD line and the signal line below zero. Overall, the bearish pressure dominates for now. On the bright side, the price has been holding a major horizontal support zone at around $0.72 since mid-March. The first major resistance is at $0.80, aligning with the 20-day EMA. A stronger resistance level is at $1.00, where the price consolidated in February before resuming the downtrend. A move above $0.80 would be the first sign of potential recovery, but for a chance of trend reversal, MNT would need to break above $1.00 with strong volume and hold.

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chart time frame : 1D. Observations and Analysis: Price Trend: The price chart shows a significant downtrend, with the price currently at $0.5603. The price has been consistently declining, indicating strong bearish momentum. BOLL (Bollinger Bands): The price is currently near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential oversold condition. However, in strong downtrends, prices can remain near the lower band for extended periods. SAR (Parabolic SAR): The SAR dots are above the price candles, confirming the downtrend. SAR suggests the downtrend is likely to continue as long as the dots remain above the price. Volume (VOL): The volume bars are not particularly high, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. This reinforces the bearish sentiment. Moving Averages (MA): The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are both sloping downwards, confirming the downtrend. The shorter MA is below the longer MA, indicating bearish momentum. MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, and both are below zero, indicating a bearish trend. The histogram is also negative, further supporting the bearish sentiment. KDJ (Stochastic Oscillator): The KDJ lines are below 20, suggesting an oversold condition. However, as with the Bollinger Bands, oversold conditions can persist in strong downtrends. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 27.11, indicating an oversold condition. However, similar to the KDJ, oversold conditions can persist during strong downtrends. Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index): The Stoch RSI is also at the bottom, indicating an oversold condition. Price Projection: Based on the analysis, the current trend is strongly bearish. While the indicators suggest oversold conditions, they do not necessarily indicate an immediate reversal. The price could continue to decline in the short term. Potential Scenarios: Continued Downtrend: If the bearish momentum persists, the price could continue to decline, potentially testing lower support levels. Consolidation: The price might consolidate within a range if the selling pressure eases. Potential Reversal: A reversal is possible if there is a significant increase in buying volume and the indicators start to show bullish divergences. However, there is no clear indication of a reversal at this time. disclaimer : don't agree with me do your investment at your own research and risk.

My fav thing to do is look at the posts (usually panic or euphoria posts) around news and fundamentals where there’s zero edge around but people try to sound smart around it and write down a 1000 word essay of why something is gonna happen but then the opposite happens

My fav thing to do is look at the posts (usually panic or euphoria posts) around news and fundamentals where there’s zero edge around but people try to sound smart around it and write down a 1000 word essay of why something is gonna happen but then the opposite happens